Bears set sights on Bulldogs in MEAC title game

NCAA Basketball Betting Lines

03/13/2010 - Winston-Salem, NC (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - Back in the title game of the Mid-Eastern Athletic Conference Tournament for the third straight year, the Morgan State Bears try to repeat as champions this afternoon as they tangle with South Carolina State at Lawrence Joel Veterans Memorial Coliseum in Winston-Salem.

The Bears were almost unbeatable in conference play this season at 15-1, which is why they were made the top seed in this 39th annual event. Morgan State earned a bye into the quarterfinals where it defeated ninth-seeded North Carolina A&T without much effort in an 84-57 final on Wednesday. On Friday the squad captured a 74-67 win over fifth-seeded Hampton to move to 31-25 in the event overall.

As for the third-seeded Bulldogs, they first slipped by Maryland-Eastern Shore, the sixth seed, in a 59-53 triumph on Thursday and then followed that up with a 70-66 overtime win versus second-seeded Delaware State in the semifinals on Friday.

The teams split their two regular-season meetings, with SC State putting up a 71-68 victory in the most recent decision on the road in the middle of February. The advantage in the all-time series rests with the Bulldogs by a count of 39-26.

Jason Flagler scored a game-high 19 points, shooting 7-of-9 from the floor, while adding eight rebounds in SC State's win over Delaware State in overtime on Friday. Rio Pitt posted 11 points as he made good on all five of his field goals attempts, followed by Brandon Smalls and Carrio Bennett who both tacked don 10 points for a team that shot 53.1 percent from the field in order to offset 16 turnovers. Flagler, the leading scorer in five of the last six games, leads the team overall on the season with his 15.2 ppg, stemming from his impressive 55.8 percent effort from the floor and his 87 percent accuracy at the free-throw line. Darnell Porter checks in with 13.0 ppg, thanks in large part to his 41.1 percent shooting beyond the arc this season. The team as a whole has made a mere 30.7 percent on the perimeter.

Balanced scoring was the order of the day on Friday as the Bears put five players in double figures in the win over Hampton, but only one of them (Ameer Ali, 14 points) had more than a dozen points in the victory. Troy Smith and Joe Davis both came away with 12 points, followed by Reggie Holmes and DeWayne Jackson 11 points apiece as the team worked through 16 turnovers and just 2- of-8 shooting behind the three-point line. Morgan State won the meeting at the free-throw line where it held a 30-18 advantage. One of the top scorers in college basketball this season, Holmes is pouring in 21.9 ppg, having spent an inordinate amount of time at the free-throw line where he's made 234-of-286 chances. Toss in another 553 field goal attempts over the course of his 35 starts and you have a player who easily has his hands on the ball more than anyone else on the team. Kevin Thompson is averaging a double-double with 12.7 points and 12.0 rebounds per game, the latter making him one of the most aggressive players on the glass in the nation in 2009-10.

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FOOTBALL BETTING : Crabtree's base deal: six years, $32 million

Football Betting

In the wake of the news that the 49ers have signed receiver Michael Crabtree after an extended holdout, there has been not a hint of the dollars to be paid to Crabtree.

And since this means that his agent hasn't leaked the numbers, it means that his agent feels no specific motivation to do so.

Possibly because his agent isn't all that thrilled to have his name on the deal.

So the numbers will come from sources other than Crabtree's agent. And we've gotten our mitts into them.

Per a league source, Crabtree has signed a six-year, $32 million contract. (The total includes guaranteed money, base salaries, and the one-time incentive based on achieving minimum playing time.)

The deal also includes $17 million in guaranteed money.

As reported elsewhere, the deal can void to five years based on performance triggers, wiping out a final year base salary of $4 million. But they won't be easily reached.

The source tells us that, in his first four seasons (including 2009), Crabtree must either qualify for two Pro Bowls, or he must qualify for one Pro Bowl in one year and he must participate in 80 percent of the offensive snaps in a separate year in which the team makes the playoffs.

In other words, if in 2010 he qualifies for the Pro Bowl and the team makes the playoffs and he participates in 80 percent of the snaps, he'll still need to make it to the Pro Bowl or achieve the 80-percent/playoffs in another season.

Since the chances of Crabtree making the Pro Bowl or participating in 80 percent of the offensive snaps this year is roughly zero percent, he'll have three years to get it done.

And it won't be easy. Frankly, he'll be hard pressed to make it to one Pro Bowl in three years with the likes of Larry Fitzgerald, Calvin Johnson, Anquan Boldin, Steve Smith, the other Steve Smith, Hakeem Nicks, DeSean Jackson, Johnny Knox, Percy Harvin, Greg Jennings, Roddy White, T.J. Houshmandzadeh in the same conference for sportsbook betting.

So, by all appearances, it's a six-year deal. And at $17 million in guaranteed money, the per-year guarantee is a tepid $2.83 million per year.

There's another problem with the deal -- it has no mid-tier incentive package. Instead, the additional $8 million that Crabtree can earn (pushing the max value to six years, $40 million) requires the kind of unrealistic, mega-star performances that no rookie is likely to ever achieve.

So while the contract paid to Packers defensive tackle B.J. Raji covers five years and pays $22.5 million, he has the ability (if he's a solid player) to make up the difference between his base deal and Crabtree's five-year, $28 million haul via the mid-tier incentive package in Raji's deal.

And unless Crabtree meets the performance thresholds necessary to void the sixth year, he'll be stuck under contract for another year at a base salary of only $4 million.

There's one other area of concern with the deal. Crabtree, per the source, received no option bonus. Instead, he has significant money tied to a fairly new device known as a "discretionary salary advance," which unlike an opition bonus is subject to forfeiture if Crabtree decides in a year or two that he wants to hold out for a better deal. (We're also told that the 49ers have included language that would make certain escalators subject to forfeiture, too.)

Meanwhile, the deal falls well short of the mark for which Crabtree and agent Eugene Parker were aiming -- the five-year, $38.25 million contract paid by the Raiders to receiver Darrius Heyward-Bey, the seventh overall pick in the draft.

Even if Crabtree successfully voids the final year, he'll make more than $2 million per year less on average than Heyward-Bey.

Thus, as we explained earlier in the day, this is a deal that Crabtree could have done in July, which would have given him a much better chance of making a contribution to the 49ers during his rookie year.

So while the final outcome can be described as win-win, the broader view suggests that it's really a lose-lose situation.

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